In the realm of commercial real estate (CRE) investment, there’s a pervasive belief that election years spell uncertainty, yet data suggests otherwise. While many investors express concerns about the impact of presidential and congressional elections on their portfolios, historical trends show minimal correlation between election outcomes and CRE performance. Despite the nervous atmosphere surrounding the 2024 presidential race, experts caution against allowing political sentiments to guide investment decisions, emphasizing the dominant influence of interest rates over political factors. While some investors may react to political fears, the primary focus remains on economic fundamentals, with interest rates reigning supreme. Amidst ongoing economic stability tinged with concerns, the true determinants of CRE investment decisions lie beyond the realm of electoral politics, pointing instead to broader economic indicators and potential geopolitical disruptions.

Maher Maso, Principal at Ryan, offers valuable insights into the intersection of politics and CRE investment. Maher emphasizes the significance of local and state regulations, which often have a more direct impact on CRE than federal elections.